STRUCTURING MODERN AGRI-FOOD SECTOR IN CEE COUNTRIES

CZECH REPUBLIC

Dr. Tomás Doucha

Deputy Director

Research Institute of Agricultural Economics (RIAE)

Prague, Czech Republic

INTRODUCTION

The document describes some aspects and factors linked to the formation of a new agri-food sector in the Czech Republic after 1989. The document focuses on the price and price relations developments, on the development of the new forms of integration in the agri-food sector and on the role of state, foreign firms and capital in modernization of the agri-food sector. These aspects influence the development of terms of trade in the agri-food chain.

1. Price formation in the agri-food chain in the Czech Republic

during the reform period

The price and price relation developments in the Czech agri-food chain since 1989 are shown in table 1 and in graph 1.

Table 1 - Price developments in the Czech agro-food chain (1989 = 100)

1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
19951)
1995/94
CPI
109,6
171,6
190,7
229,2
252,1
275,1
109,12
Farm prices
104,1
103,3
111,3
120,6
126,3
135,9
107,6
- crop production
104,9
111,4
119,9
137,2
131,2
150,6
114,79
- animal production
103,5
98,5
106,1
110,6
123,3
127,9
103,73
Processors prices
99,8
124,1
141,2
159,5
168,5
179,6
106,6
Retail food prices
110,6
159,7
174,2
203,2
222,1
245,0
110,3
Input prices
108
176,7
189,7
241,5
260,1
272,3
104,7
Exchange rate (CZK/USD)
28,0
28,6
28,3
29,15
28,78
26,6
92,43
CPI/Retail food prices
99,10
107,45
109,47
112,80
113,51
112,29
98,92
Input prices/Farm prices
103,75
171,06
170,44
200,25
205,94
200,37
97,3
Processors prices/Farm prices
95,87
120,14
126,86
132,26
133,41
132,16
99,06

1) 1995 - provisional, end of the year

Source: Report on the Czech Agriculture 1995 (Ministry of Agriculture)

During the reform period, the price and price relations developments presented in the table 1 were influenced especially by the following factors:

a) The supply/demand development on agricultural market

Considering almost constant number of population (10,3 mio) during the period of 1989-1995, we can present the development of the domestic demand for agricultural products by the development of the per capita consumption for main foods (see the graph 2). This development was influenced by the abolishment of consumer subsidies in 1990, by the price liberalization in 1991, by the introduction of the VAT system in 1993 and by the corresponding changes in price relations and in the structure of the household expenditures. Compared with 1989, these factors together with the decrease of the real purchasing power of population have resulted in the significant decline of demand. Since 1993, the demand for foods has stagnated or has slightly increased for some commodities. However, the expenditures on food (including beverages and tobacco products) amounted to nearly one third of the total household expenditures (32 % in 1994).

The supply development can be in general characterized by the development of the gross agricultural production, as it is shown in the graph 3. Corresponding to the demand development, but with some delay, the supply of agricultural products has also decreased. The decrease deepened particularly in the period of 1991-1993. For the first time in the reform period, agricultural production has grown in 1995 in comparison with 1994.

Livestock production has declined more than crop production during the reform period. The decline in livestock production was caused by the decrease of the number of animals and in the same time by the stagnation of yields (productivity). The number of cattle has dropped by 42 % (of which cows by 38 %) in 1995 in comparison with 1989.

With regards to the crop production almost all agricultural land (4,2 mio ha) is still used, with a stagnation of cereal area, a decline of sugar beat and potato areas and an outstanding increase of the rape seed area. In the case of the rape seed area, the acreage increase is a consequence of the growing demand for food and non-food processing, the latter being linked with the construction of new processing capacities for bio-oil. The consumption of the rape seed for this purpose amounted to more than 100 thousands tons in 1995, about one sixth of the rape seed production. The total decline of crop production in comparison with 1989 is caused especially by the decline of yields, as a result of the shortage of finance for variable inputs (fertilizers, pesticides etc.).

Graph 1

Graph 2

Graph 3


b) The trade developments

The general tendency of the agro-food trade in the transition period was a dynamic increase of trade both in imports and exports. However in the years 1994 and 1995 the rise in import is much higher than the rise in export. The trend is also reflected by the evolution of the agro-food trade balance (-8.5 bio CZK in 1994; the estimated total deficit of agro-food trade balance for 1995 is 12,5-13,0 bio CZK).

The developments of the two years, 1994 and 1995, can be characterized as a return to the pre-reform situation as the agro-food trade balance is concerned. As shows the table 2 the shares of agro-food trade on the total trade did not changed dramatically. The share of total import remains stable, while the exports after a rise of its share in 1991, decreased during the following years but its share still remained above the pre reform level. To summarize, the role of the agro-food trade in the economy has not changed substantially during the reform period.

Table 2 - Agro-food trade and total Czech trade (bio CZK)

1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
19951)
Total exports
162.1
165.2
233.6
248.1
372.3
411.5
445.0
Total imports
164.5
176.2
208.8
293.4
366.4
424.0
540.0
Trade balance
- 2.4
-11.0
24.8
-45.3
5.9
-20.6
-95.0
Agro-food exports
9.0
10.8
20.8
21.4
29.8
30.4
37.0
Agro-food imports
13.2
13.7
18.7
24.1
29.9
38.9
50.0
Agro-food trade balance
- 4.2
- 2.9
2.1
- 2.7
- 0.1
- 8.5
-13.0
Agro-food share on total exports
5.6
6.6
8.9
8.7
7.4
7.0
8.4
Agro-food share on total imports
8.0
7.8
8.7
7.7
7.8
9.1
9.3

1) provisional

The figures 1989 -1992 are for Czechoslovakia, 1993-1995 for the Czech Republic including the trade with Slovakia. The values for 1989 are calculated at 1989 exchange rate, for 1990-1995 at current exchange rate.

Source: RIAE, Custom statistics CR

In the 1994-1995 period the decline in exports of animal products was a consequence of the fall in animal numbers (this process is to be considered as the recessive adaptation of the agricultural production sector to new market conditions).

The agro-food trade situation in the years 1994 and 1995 is reflecting the decline of exports (especially in the meat exports), the level of which was in the period of 1991-1993 influenced by huge surpluses. Nevertheless, food exports are still dominated by milk and milk products where a surplus production (compared with the internal demand) is still persisting. An important and till 1993 dynamic group of exports is represented by beverages and dominated by beer export (which has to be considered together with malt and hops as the product traditionally exported on the bases of comparative advantages). In 1994 and 1995 the export of beverages remained at the level reached in 1993. In 1994 and 1995 export of oilseeds and animal feed stuff increased. Hops and malt are the other important exported products. The shares of the other main product groups have not changed substantially. The share of grain exports is largely depending on the size of the domestic harvest. In 1995 (first half) the grain export were influenced by the exports of the stocks of the State Fund for Market Regulations (SFMR) from the 1994 harvest.

The commodity structure of agro-food imports remains fairly stable with no major changes in the general trends. The main imports (in value terms) are fruits and vegetables representing around 20 per cent in the period 1991-1995. The second most important group of imported products are tropical beverages (coffee, tea and cocoa) representing about 11 per cent. In reaction to structural changes and decrease in animal production the imports of animal feed are continuing to fall. Imports of soya cakes fell from 14 to 5 per cent in the period 1991-1995. Tobacco and related products are also a major import item (about 10 per cent). The analysis of the commodity structure of the agro-food trade in 1994 and 1995 is confirming these tendencies especially as the rise in imports of tropical zone products are concerned.

c) Market protection

The protection of the domestic agricultural market has been developing roughly in three stages during the reform period, as it is presented in the table 3.

Table 3 - The development of agricultural market protection in the period of 1989-1995

Parameters
1989-1991
1992-1994
1995
General level of tariff protection relatively very low, on the level of about other goods higher: the increase of tariffs (approximately on the level of the EU tariffs) after the implementation of the new tariff system in 1992 the implementation of the UR GATT in the tariff system, with the protection on the level as of 1994, including the tariffication of import levies
Tariff preferences and concessions insignificantconcessions in the framework of the European Agreement and agreements with the EFTA countries; the establishment of the custom union with the Slovak Republic in 1993 updating of the European Agreement and other agreements as a consequence of the UR GATT and the enlargement of the EU
Non-tariff protection administrative system of licenses on imports, exports the implementation of import levies the abolishment of import levies (their tariffication); ad hoc strict application of licenses (especially on exports - cereals, flour)
Influence of the exchange rate considerably protective influence after the devaluation in 1990 the decreasing protective influence of the nominal exchange rate by its gradual appreciation (approximately by 8 % per year)

The effects of the tariff protection of selected commodities are presented in the form of the so-called landed prices (see the table 4). These prices are calculated on the base of world prices in CZK, increased by the level of tariff protection. In this way, landed prices represent an upper limit for the growth of the domestic prices, issuing from the level of the tariff protection.

Tab. 4 - Landed prices in 1994 (CZK/t)

Commodity
World price
Domestic price
Landed price
Landed price - Domestic price
Wheat
3145
2983
3931
948
Barley (feed)
2384
2297
2980
683
Rape seed
5484
5428
6580
1152
Sugar (refined)
9911
12050
16849
4799
Cattle (lwe)
44213
34046
66363
32317
Pigs (lwe)
24863
31987
31591
-396
Poultry (lwe)
26425
23520
34352
10832
Milk
4068
6020
5939
-81

Exchange rates used: CZK/ECU 24,06, ECU/USD 0,841

Source: A prognosis of world prices, EU prices and prices in the Czech Republic in 1994, 1997 and 2000 (working document RIAE, Vojtìch, 1995)

As indicated in the table 4, the level of tariff protection, in spite of the decreasing protective influence of the exchange rate, has still been sufficient for the majority of commodities, with exception of pigs and milk. Besides this, we have to consider the imports of some more subsidized foods from the EU (fruits) and the lower tariff imports which fall under the framework of trade agreements. For example, the agreements in the framework of the CEFTA (Additional Protocol Nr. 3, 1995) and the bilateral agreements with Poland and Hungary which came into effect in 1996, forming a more competitive condition for domestic producers (e.g. in case of poultry, vegetables and potatoes).

d) State market regulation

After the price liberalization in 1991, the state has interfered into the agricultural market through the activity of the State Fund of Market Regulation (SFMR), through buying out agricultural surpluses and subsidizing their exports. In 1995, the state continued to interfere in the market functioning by applying licenses (in the competency of the Ministry of Industry and Trade - see the table 3). The dimension of the state intervention in agricultural market through the SFMR during the reform period is evident from the figures in the table number 5.

Table 5 - Expenditures on market regulation in the period of 1991-1995 (bio CZK)

1991
1992
1993
1994
1995- provis.
Expenditures from the state budget on the SFMR
5564
3539
1575
1925
850
Net expenditures of the state on market regulation
5564
3314
2675
3754
2105
Share of net expenditures on market regulation in total subsidies for the agro-food sector (%)1)
30,5
33,1
54,5
53,1
32,2
Share of net expenditures on market regulation in adjusted value of agricultural production (%)2)
6,1
3,9
3,0
4,5
.

1) including tax concessions

2) adjusted value of agricultural production according to the method used by the OECD for PSE calculations.

Source: Review of agricultural policy, market and trade developments in 1995 - Czech Republic (OECD, 1996)

The main mechanisms and instruments used by the SFMR:

× intervention purchases of the selected commodities at guaranteed (minimum) prices and exports of intervention stocks (or exceptionally the selling these stocks on the domestic market, as in case of cereals in 1995/1996); since 1994, the intervention purchases at administrative (institutional) prices with advance (before harvest) payments has been applied for food wheat,

× assignment (distribution) of export subsidies to export firms on the base of tenders and under some special conditions (e.g. the purchase of agricultural products by processors at least guaranteed - minimum prices); this mechanism has been used only for dairy products since 1994.

As a rule, institutional prices are stated on the level of unit costs in the better than average farms (milk) or under the level of market (world) prices (wheat).

In general, after the period of big surpluses (1991-1993), the SFMR has developed in a special institution functioning as a distributor of export subsidies to private firms (dairy products) and as a state trade firm in case of cereals, respectively. As a state trade firm, the SFMR gains much better terms of trade than private trade firms can usually achieve. There is also a question of better access to cheaper bank credits for the advanced payments to farms for cereals.

e) The situation in transformation - privatization of the national economy

In general, the real privatization in farm sector is to some extent ahead of the real privatization in up- and downstream sectors (with exception of the privatization in retail sector, based prevailingly on the small-scale privatization). Firms in up- and downstream sectors were prevailingly privatized by the coupon privatization. In 1995, after the two official waves of privatization, an unofficial "third wave of privatization" started, aiming at a concentration of the still extremely scattered ownership and capital and at a formation of real owners of firms. The part of property (about 20 %) of firms in the food industry and distribution sectors has still remained in the hands of the state. The foreign capital has started rapidly to penetrate into both sectors, especially into the more lucrative food industry firms and into the retail sector. A natural downstream structure, consisting of the mixture of small, medium and large enterprises, has been gradually emerging. However, in some branches (vegetable oil, confectionery) the highly concentrated structure is dominant, with the decisive role of 1-2 firms in production. In spite of these facts and the liquidation of several big firms (meat processing, dairy, sugar refinery), it is necessary to stress, that a needed production and economic restructuring processes are still in the initial phase. This applies especially to the food industry with still existing overcapacities (20-40 %, depending on sectors).

2. Market and contractual form of agro-food vertical and

horizontal integration

The development of the agri-food chain has been influenced by new contractual forms and new forms of vertical or horizontal integration, introduced in the last years. First, there is a question of capital linkages between farms and downstream firms. In the course of the two waves of the coupon privatization, the state has reserved about 20 % of shares of downstream firms for their future sale to farms at reasonable prices. In 1994, the Fund of National Property transferred these shares to the new established Support and Guarantee Fund for Farmers and Forestry (SGFFF) to strengthen its portfolio. The part of shares was already sold to farmers. However, in several cases farmers immediately sold these shares to other interested people, particularly to foreign investors (sugar refineries, dairies). The SGFFF has started to deal with the remained shares on free market.

The government also supported capital linkages between food industry and agriculture, suggesting a capitalization of claims of farmers towards food industry and by the direct support of building up processing capacities on farms (till 1993). The government has also interfered in relations between processors and farms with other instruments, e.g. with export subsidies for food industry firms, assignment of which has been conditioned by payments in time to farmers and at minimum (guaranteed) prices. In case of food wheat, the SFMR offers to farmers contracts with advance payments before harvest (see also the part 1).

The Commodity Exchange, established during the reform period, has not yet any influence on market.

Milk producers have established 15 (regional) cooperatives and joint companies for the distribution (delivery) of milk from producers to processors. These companies provide services for approximately 25 % of the Czech milk production. The Ministry of Competition has argumented with cartel agreements and some of these companies were penalized. Nevertheless, activities of these companies have contributed to the increase of farm prices of milk.

Long-term contracts (3-5 years) between rape seed producers and processors, including the delivery of special inputs, are in the stage of preparation. At present, a system of "contracts on future contracts", based on general conditions agreed by the Association of producers and processors and with minimum prices for the first two month after harvest, is used in the sector.

The similar aims are pursued in the meat sector. Several big processors and traders are preparing a joint company for processing and marketing of meat products.

The Agrarian Chamber, associating farmers and a part of food industry, is trying to establish a system of long-term contracts between the mentioned interest groups.

However, this effort does not meet with the position of the Ministry of Competition, argumenting with cartel agreements. For this purpose, the Ministry of Agriculture suggested to exclude agricultural commodities from the Competition Law, so far without success. Under these conditions, informal agreements among processors have the higher impact on market. In March 1996, the Association of Processors, pursuing interests of processors inside of the Agrarian Chamber, was established.

3. Role of state policy in promoting agro-food development

The state has influenced the agri-food sector not only through market regulation (see the part 1), but also by means of its structural policy. After 1994, the structural policy in agriculture, introduced by legislative, subsidy and tax instruments, has been oriented especially on meeting the following goals:

× completing the privatization (particularly the privatization of the state land) and restitutions,

× modernization of agriculture through cheap credits (soft loans, interest subsidies) and credits with the state guaranty,

× restructuring of agriculture in less favorable areas through direct subsidies on afforestation, grassing and maintenance of grassland (countryside),

× development of a non-food use of agricultural products, particularly the development of production of bio-oil.

The total support of the agro-food sector from the state budget is apparent from the figures in the table 6.

Table 6 - Net expenditures of the government on the agro-food sector

Type of expenditures
1991
1992
1993
1994
19951)
1. Price support
5564
3314
2675
3754
2105
1.1 Internal price support
727
40
1.2 Export subsidies
4837
3314
2675
3754
2065
2. Direct payments
2939
1022
144
650
1541
2.1 Produce support
1369
35
334
2.2 LFA support
1228
528
438
1090
2.3 Compensation payments
342
494
144
177
117
3. Other support
9758
5678
3090
3679
2885
3.1 Investment support
3181
1089
1355
1628
1622
3.2 Input subsidies
80
170
3.3 General services
577
589
565
800
716
3.4 Other sources
70
52
200
3.5 Tax exemptions
6000
4000
100
100
177
Total
18261
10014
4909
7064
6531

1) provisional

Source: Ministry of Agriculture, SFMR, SGFFF, RIAE

The main instrument of the credit policy since 1994 has been the Support and Guarantee Fund for Farmers and Forestry (SGFFF). The main sources for its functioning are state budget (in 1994 2,6 bio CZK, in 1995 2,3 bio CZK) and shares of food industry and distribution enterprises from the two waves of privatization (the nominal value of shares was about 5,9 bio CZK, the present market value of shares is about 2,6 bio CZK).

Besides the original programs (schemes) of the SGFFF (FARMER, OPERATION, YOUTH, LANDSCAPE), in 1994 and 1995 the further programs, for solving temporary problems as a rule, have been introduced (SERVICES, AGROREGION, RESTITUENT, PRIVATISANT, OLD DEBTS). In all of these schemes the SGFFF gives the support in the form of guaranty on bank credits and/or in the form of interest subsidies.

Through the services of the SGFFF more than 16 bio CZK of bank credits and about 1 bio CZK interest subsidies were directed into agriculture during the period of 1994-1995. The average interest rate after deduction of support amounted to about 2,7 % (in 1994).

The SGFFF undoubtedly contributed significantly to the flow of needed credits to agriculture, with considerably high multiplicative effects of invested state money. Nevertheless, especially from the side of the Ministry of Finance there are some objections regarding the activity of the SGFFF. These objections concern e.g. infringing the principle of neutrality from the side of the government in allocation of capital and the operative use of the SGFFF for solving topical (temporary) problems.

Food industry uses the similar services of the Czech-Moravian Development and Guaranty Bank (CMDGB) aimed at promoting the development of small and medium undertaking (in 1995 the net support was about 100 mio CZK).

Besides the activities of the SGFFF there were other investment supports for the modernization and reconstruction of agriculture:

× soft loans for investments in the period of 1991-1994 (about 8 bio CZK in total),

× direct subsidies for afforestation, grassing and construction of newvineyards and hopyards,

× direct subsidies for the anti-erosion measures and on the cleaning of ponds.

Other support policies included subsidies for general services for agriculture. The main part of these subsidies were aimed at giving the support for genetics, development of informatics, extension services, research and education.

4. Foreign capital and multinational corporations in the

process of agri-food sector modernization

Foreign capital is step by step penetrating into the up- and downstream

sectors. Direct foreign investments in food industry amounted to 424,5 mio USD

during the period of 1990-1995, which represents 7,3 % of the total foreign investments in the national economy.

Foreign capital penetrated into the food industry especially in dairy, starch production, sugar refinery, brewery, confectionery and other food production with higher value added.

The ownership of enterprises in the distribution sector (input supply, elevators) after the two waves of privatization is proportionately divided among investment funds, the government and small shareholders. A big move in ownership in 1995 was initiated by investment funds. There are signals that a part of property in this sector fell under control of foreign firms. In other upstream sectors the positive effect is the increasing competition, including foreign competition.

The structure of wholesale and retail sector is beginning to influence the trade relations in agro-food chains. The growth of food import is caused not only by a growing demand for food of a higher quality, but also by the penetration of subsidized food from international firms from the EU into the privatized marketing chains, which are to a large extent in the hands of foreign firms (Meinl, Delvita, Kmart etc.). There are also more convenient terms of payment in case of import of foreign food. Only few domestic entrepreneurs have penetrated into the marketing chains and supermarkets.

5. The development of terms of trade in particular links

of agri-food chain

The development of the aggregate price indices (see the table 1) reflect to a considerable extent the development of the position of the particular links in the agri-food chain on market. Terms of trade have also been influenced by other aspects, presented in the parts 2-4. The development of terms of trade is briefly described in the table 7.

Table 7 - The development of terms of trade in the agri-food chain

1991-1993
1994-1995
Input suppliersa relatively advantageous position, given by the monopolistic position and by the anti-import influence of the exchange rate the position is getting worse, which is caused by sharpening of foreign competition and by a partial demonopolization
Farmersan extremely disadvantageous position, given especially by the supply/demand inequilibrium (surpluses) and by the price scissors the position is getting better, which is caused by the increased competition in upstream sector, but particularly by the lower agricultural production and by the competition among processors "in the battle for agricultural products"
Processorsa relatively advantageous position, given by the monopolistic structure, by the surpluses of agricultural production and by the state support of exports the position of the still only formally privatized food industry firms with overcapacities is getting worse; the competition "in the battle for agricultural production" pushes the prices of agricultural products up, but in the sharp competition among processors the higher prices for raw materials can not be fully projected into processors prices1)
Wholesale and retail sector relatively the most advantageous position in the chain the preservation of the advantageous position as a consequence of the competition among processors and the weak pressure from the side of consumers
Consumersrelatively the most disadvantageous position in the chain the preservation of the disadvantageous position, but with a growing interest of the state in protection of consumers

1) as a consequence of the competition some big food industry enterprises (meat processors, dairies, sugar refineries) were liquidated during the last years.

Consumers are protected by the Consumers Protection Act. However, since 1 January 1995 the obligatory technical standards for foods were abolished. The government approved in 1995 the principles of the Food and Tobacco Act. There are problems with the definition of competencies of the state inspection institutes in the agro-food market, it means competencies of the Czech Agricultural and Food Inspection, the Czech Market Inspection, the State Veterinarian Office and the Hygienic Services of the Ministry of Health. If the Parliament approves the draft of the Food and Tobacco Act, its functioning is not expected before 1 July 1996.

The shares of particular links in the total value added of the agri-food chain is difficult to ascertain, because the Czech statistics still does not monitor sectoral values added and their intersectoral relations. Nevertheless, the Czech Agricultural University of Prague tried to estimate these shares. According to analytical studies of the Czech Agricultural University of Prague, the shares of particular sectors in the 100 CZK expenditures on food were in the period of 1992-1993 the following: 23,90 CZK agriculture, 26,30 food industry and 49,80 CZK other sectors (input sector, distributing sector) (In: " Adaptation of the agro-food sector on the integration of the CR into the EU. Svato., M. et al, CAU, Prague 1995").

The relative weight of the farm sector in the agri-food chain can be approximately derived also from the share of farm prices in retail prices, as shown in the table 8.

Tab. 8 - The share of farm prices in retail prices (in %, 1992)

Czech Republic
Germany
USA
Cereal products
20
7
8
Meat and meat products
52
31
41
Milk and dairy products
59
49
36

Source: Report on the Czech Agriculture 1995 (Ministry of Agriculture 1995), RIAE - Štiková

The calculation and comparisons in the table 8 were provided by the Research Institute of Agricultural Economics Prague for 1992. Rough estimates for 1993 and 1994 show that the share of farm prices in retail prices stagnated or slightly decreased. However, these shares still highly exceeded analogical figures of developed countries.